Biden Now Leads Trump By Widest Margin In 6 Months
As President Biden’s approval rating continues to bounce back from its summertime lows, a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll now shows him leading defeated President Donald Trump in a 2024 rematch by the widest margin since March, Andrew Romano reported for Yahoo News.
Photo Insert: The President and First Lady recently hosted former President Barrack Obama, and former First Lady, Michelle, to unveil the latter's official White House portraits.
The survey of 1,634 US adults was conducted from Sept. 2 to Sept. 6 — immediately after a combative primetime speech last Thursday, in which Biden blasted “Trump and the MAGA Republicans” as “extremists” who “threat[en] the very foundations of our republic.”
The poll found that if the next presidential election “were held today,” 48% of registered voters would choose Biden, while 42% would choose Trump.
Biden’s new 6-point lead is 3 points larger than his edge in the previous Yahoo News/YouGov survey from late August (Biden 45%, Trump 42%) and 4 points better than his average lead across all Yahoo News/YouGov surveys conducted between April and July (Biden 44%, Trump 42%). The poll’s margin of error is approximately 2.6%.
The last time Biden led Trump in a Yahoo News/YouGov poll by 6 percentage points or more among registered voters was in March 2022 (Biden 47% to Trump 39%). The time before that was in May 2021 (Biden 48% to Trump 39%).
Notably, Biden’s support today (48%) matches those previous highs. None of which means Biden is a lock to defeat Trump in 2024.
The election is still years away, and Trump won in 2016 despite losing the national popular vote (largely because Republican voters tend to live in rural states that are overrepresented in the Electoral College).
But the president’s improving numbers against his former (and possibly future) opponent represents a modest sign that he is rebounding from a prolonged summer slump. Possible reasons for his rising popularity include falling gas prices and the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, which will lower the cost of prescription drugs, electric vehicles, and solar panels, among other provisions.