“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for some time, reflecting concerns that solid economic reports might delay Federal Reserve rate cuts, Alicia Wallace reported for CNN.
US consumers reported increased optimism about their current and future financial situation, the stock market, and the continued slowing of inflation.
However, this week brought a series of genuinely positive developments: inflation gauges showed prices cooling more than anticipated, Americans' financial outlooks improved, and inflation expectations dipped.
Additionally, US import prices fell sharply on Friday, contributing to the disinflationary trend.
Joe Brusuelas, principal and chief economist for RSM US, explained, "What we saw in the data is a reaffirmation of the idea that the economy, hiring, and inflation are all cooling, which should create the conditions later this year for the Federal Reserve to relax their restrictive policy rate.
And long-term interest rates will come down, which means the cost of financing — to purchase a car, a dishwasher, or a washing machine or dryer — all will fall." Brusuelas added, "That is good news."
This week featured multiple inflation reports, a Federal Reserve meeting, a new central bank rate cut timeline, and various economic projections, which significantly influenced the market and provided insights into the economic trajectory.
Economists had expected the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to hold steady at a 3.4% annual rate.
On Monday, new survey data from the New York Fed indicated that US consumers reported increased optimism about their current and future financial situation, the stock market, and the continued slowing of inflation.
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