GOP Voters Dumping Trump, USA Today/Ipsos Poll Finds

President Joe Biden's backing among Democrats to run for reelection has been significantly boosted in the wake of better-than-expected midterm results, a new USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds, while Donald Trump's standing among Republicans has been dented, Susan Page reported for USA Today.

Photo Insert: 75% of Republicans say Trump could win the next election, still a bit higher than Biden among their partisans. But that is seven percentage points lower than the 82% of Republicans who held that view of the former president before the midterms.

The number of Democratic voters who believe that Biden could win the 2024 race for the White House has jumped to 71%, up by double digits from the 60% who felt that way in a poll taken in August.

Now 75% of Republicans say Trump could win the next election, still a bit higher than Biden among their partisans. But that is seven percentage points lower than the 82% of Republicans who held that view of the former president before the midterms.

“Pre-midterms, Trump had an advantage with his base headed towards 2024," said Clifford Young, president of US Public Affairs at Ipsos. "Now, post-midterms, Trump has been winged and Democrats are more confident in Biden, setting this up to be a close fight.

The race is on.” Biden's biggest gains since August were among voters under 35 (to 69% from 53%) and among women (to 71% from 55%). The survey of 2,004 adults was taken Nov. 15-16, a week after Election Day, as it became clear Democrats had kept control of the Senate and limited Republican gains to a narrow majority in the House.

The poll, which used Ipsos' online panel, has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all respondents, 4.5 points for Republican voters, and 4.0 for Democratic voters.

In a sign of growing confidence in Biden, Democratic voters have become less likely to say it's time for a change in their party. With confidence waning a bit in Trump, Republicans are more likely to want change in the GOP.

Democrats now split 50%-50% over whether Biden should be their party's presidential nominee in 2024.

In August, 44% said he deserved reelection while 56% said it was time for a change – so a 12-point deficit has become an even divide. A 54% majority of Republicans say Trump should be the party's presidential nominee for the third time; 46% say it's time for a change. While that puts him in positive territory by eight points, the margin is less than half the 18-point advantage he held in August, at 59%-41%.

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