NBC Polling Average Shows Democrats with 9-Point Congressional Lead

Democrats held a 9-percentage-point advantage over Republicans in NBC News' latest polling average on which party voters prefer to control Congress, according to a recent analysis released.

NBC News' polling average shows a Democratic advantage in the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

The average stood at 52% for Democrats and 43% for Republicans after adjustment to a likely-voter scale.

The measure is based on publicly available polls that meet NBC News' standards for methodology and transparency. It is intended to provide a broader picture of polling trends than any individual survey and includes polls conducted during the second Trump administration.

Polling averages can change as new surveys are released, and the generic congressional ballot does not measure the standing of individual candidates in specific House or Senate races.