Budget Gap Widened To ₱99-B In October
The National Government’s budget deficit ballooned to P99.1 billion in October with state spending outpacing revenue collections, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) reported on Friday.
Photo Insert: In its latest cash operations report, the BTr said the October budget gap rose by 54.08% from the P64.3 billion deficit in the same month a year ago.
In its latest cash operations report, the BTr said the October budget gap rose by 54.08% from the P64.3 billion deficit in the same month a year ago. “The higher deficit for the period resulted from the year-over-year acceleration in government spending outpacing revenue growth,” it said in a statement.
Month-on-month, the October deficit sharply narrowed from the P179.8 billion in September. In October, government expenditures rose by 22.23% to P387.9 billion from P317.4 billion a year ago.
The BTr said faster government spending was driven by higher tax allotments of local government units (LGUs) and subsidy releases for programs implemented by government corporations. National tax allotments to LGUs stood at P86.5 billion, while subsidies amounted to P40 billion.
“Disbursements for the social protection programs of the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) and road infrastructure projects of the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) also contributed to the higher October spending,” the BTr added.
Primary expenditures, which refer to total expenditures minus interest payments, jumped 24.11% to P354.7 billion, accounting for 91% of the total monthly spending. Interest payments rose by 5.23% to P33.2 billion in October.
Meanwhile, total revenue collection increased by 14.14% to P288.9 billion in October from P253.1 billion in the same period last year. Tax revenues rose 19.53% to P261.9 billion in October from P219.1 billion a year ago. The bulk of tax revenues came from the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) with P186.8 billion, up 15.20% year on year.
The Bureau of Customs (BOC) collections also jumped 35.16% to P75.1 billion in October, while tax collections from other offices plunged 94.31% to P99 million.
Nontax revenues also fell by 20% to P27 billion from P34 billion as nontax collections from other offices, privatization proceeds, and fees and charges declined 44.2% to P13.7 billion. BTr revenues surged 47.24% to P13.2 billion “due to higher National Government share from the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. (PAGCOR) profit and Bond Sinking Fund (BSF) investment performance which offset lower dividend remittance.”
Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. chief economist, Michael L. Ricafort, said in an email that the higher expenditures for the month were due to soaring inflation and rising borrowing costs. Headline inflation accelerated to 7.7% in October, its fastest pace in 14 years, mainly driven by soaring food costs. In the 10-month period, inflation averaged 5.4%.
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) delivered a 75 bp hike this month, increasing its benchmark rate to 5%, the highest in nearly 14 years. It has so far hiked rates by 300 bps since May to tame inflation and keep in step with the Fed.
“The continued growth in government revenues has been consistent with measures to further re-open the economy towards greater normalcy (which) could have increased government tax revenue collections with more businesses operating at higher capacity,” the banker added.
UnionBank of the Philippines, Inc. chief economist, Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, said that the fiscal deficit in October was a “reversal from the fiscal prudence that we have seen in most of the third quarter.”
“Nevertheless, we think that if revenues continue its double-digit growth, it will be a leg up for fiscal management moving forward,” Asuncion added.
Meanwhile, the fiscal deficit narrowed by 7.61% to P1.11 trillion in the January-to-October period, from the P1.2 trillion during the same period a year ago. This accounts for just 67% of the P1.7-trillion full-year program. Total expenditures rose 9.87% to P4.1 trillion in October, as interest payments jumped 16.8% to P433.2 billion.
On the other hand, state revenues increased by 18.31% to P2.9 trillion as of end-October, accounting for 89% of the P3.3 trillion goal for the year. Tax collections jumped 17.67% to P2.6 trillion in the 10-month period, while non-tax revenues rose 24.33% to P299.5 billion.
The government borrows from local and external sources to help fund a budget deficit capped at 7.6% of gross domestic product (GDP) this year. As of end-September, the deficit to GDP ratio eased to 6.5%, from 8.3% a year ago.